Welcome equity investors—today’s edition unlocks Orion equity research on $PLTR ( ▲ 1.64% ) and $TGT ( ▲ 2.25% ).

$PLTR ( ▲ 1.64% ) 1 Year Daily Chart

Scores: Fundamental 8 | Analyst Sentiment 4 | Valuation 1 | Catalyst 5 | Technical 3 | Total: 21

Trade Suggestions: Short Normal | Entry: 151.0 | TP: 140.0 | SL: 155.0 | Confidence: 4

Investment Thesis:

Palantir presents a compelling short opportunity despite its impressive fundamental growth. While the company is executing exceptionally well, particularly in the US commercial and government sectors, its current valuation is absurdly stretched, trading at multiples that are unsustainable and indicative of 'bubble territory'. Analyst sentiment is largely neutral, and a significant increase in short interest signals strong institutional bearish conviction. Technically, the stock shows clear signs of weakening momentum, with a recent high-volume sell-off, declining RSI, and a weakening MACD, suggesting further downside. The mixed catalysts, including political scrutiny over government contracts, add to the uncertainty. Given the severe overvaluation, bearish technicals, and rising institutional shorting, a tactical short position is warranted, targeting a correction towards more rational valuation levels. Risk management is paramount due to the stock's inherent volatility and the potential for short-term bounces driven by strong underlying business performance or retail buying.

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$TGT ( ▲ 2.25% ) 1 Year Daily Chart

Scores: Fundamental 4 | Analyst Sentiment 3 | Valuation 6 | Catalyst 3 | Technical 2 | Total: 18

Trade Suggestions: Short Breakthrough | Entry: 96.0 | TP: 90.0 | SL: 100.0 | Confidence: 3

Investment Thesis:

Target Corporation presents a challenging investment case for the coming week. Despite a seemingly attractive valuation on forward multiples and a high dividend yield, the company is grappling with significant fundamental weaknesses, including declining comparable sales, increasing inventory, and acknowledged internal inefficiencies. Analyst sentiment is largely neutral to negative, with a high number of downward revisions. Key negative catalysts, such as intensifying tariff pressures and the termination of the Ulta Beauty partnership, are likely to weigh heavily on future performance and investor confidence. Technically, the stock exhibits strong bearish momentum, accelerating underperformance against the broader market, and a recent breakdown below key levels. Given the confluence of negative signals across fundamentals, sentiment, and technicals, a short position is recommended, anticipating further price depreciation as the market continues to price in the company's ongoing struggles and lack of clear short-term catalysts for a turnaround.

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TGT_PLTR_2025-08-20.pdf

TGT_PLTR_2025-08-20.pdf

1.79 MBPDF File

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