Welcome investors—this edition explores the frontier of technology with Orion AI powered insights on four quantum computing stocks: $IBM ( ▲ 1.12% ), $IONQ ( ▲ 7.02% ), $RGTI ( ▲ 3.85% ) and $QUBT ( ▲ 7.76% ).

Scores: Fundamental 7 | Analyst Sentiment 7 | Valuation 4 | Catalyst 7 | Technical 3 | Total: 28

Trade Suggestions: Long Normal | Entry: 228.0 | TP: 240.0 | SL: 225.0 | Confidence: 5

Investment Thesis:

$IBM ( ▲ 1.12% ) presents a complex investment case. Fundamentally, the company is executing a successful strategic pivot towards higher-margin hybrid cloud and AI, demonstrating strong free cash flow generation and confident management guidance. Analysts are cautiously optimistic, projecting significant upside to price targets. However, the stock's valuation appears stretched based on relative metrics and multiples, especially given its moderate EPS growth. Technically, $IBM ( ▲ 1.12% ) is in a strong bearish trend, trading well below key moving averages and underperforming the broader market. While the Relative Strength Index indicates an oversold condition, suggesting a potential short-term bounce, this would be a tactical trade against the prevailing downtrend. For the coming week, a conservative long position aiming for a bounce from oversold levels is recommended, but strict risk management is crucial due to the overall technical weakness and valuation concerns.

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Scores: Fundamental 5 | Analyst Sentiment 7 | Valuation 1 | Catalyst 8 | Technical 4 | Total: 25

Trade Suggestions: Short Breakthrough | Entry: 40.5 | TP: 38.1 | SL: 42.5 | Confidence: 3

Investment Thesis:

$IONQ ( ▲ 7.02% ) represents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity in the nascent quantum computing industry. The company is a technological leader, aggressively expanding its capabilities through strategic acquisitions and forging key partnerships that validate its long-term vision for a 'Quantum Internet'. Management's confidence is exceptionally high, backed by a strong cash balance providing significant runway. However, the stock's valuation is extremely stretched, trading at multiples far beyond its current minimal revenue and substantial, widening losses. This indicates that much of its future potential is already priced in, making it highly speculative. Technically, the stock is showing short-term bearish momentum, with a recent price decline on elevated volume, suggesting further downside. While the long-term growth narrative is compelling, the immediate financial challenges and extreme valuation warrant a cautious approach. A short-term bearish trade is recommended to capitalize on the current technical weakness, but long-term investment remains suitable only for highly risk-tolerant investors with a very extended time horizon.

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Scores: Fundamental 3 | Analyst Sentiment 5 | Valuation 1 | Catalyst 4 | Technical 6 | Total: 19

Trade Suggestions: Short Breakthrough | Entry: 15.7 | TP: 13.5 | SL: 16.8 | Confidence: 3

Investment Thesis:

Rigetti Computing presents a high-risk short opportunity. Despite management's confidence in its technological advancements and a strengthened balance sheet, the company's financial fundamentals are severely distressed, marked by consistently declining revenue, deep operating losses, and extreme overvaluation (450x forward revenue). Recent Q2 2025 earnings missed already low expectations, signaling accelerating financial deterioration. While the stock has shown strong price momentum and outperformed the SPX, technical indicators suggest it is overbought and due for a pullback, with the price near the upper Bollinger Band and RSI approaching overbought territory. The unanimous 'Buy' analyst consensus is tempered by minimal price target upside and poor relative analyst revision scores. The long, uncertain path to commercialization, heavy reliance on volatile government funding, and intense competition from better-funded giants further underscore the significant downside risk. A tactical short position, initiated on a confirmed breakdown below key support, is justified to capitalize on the likely mean reversion and fundamental re-evaluation.

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Scores: Fundamental 3 | Analyst Sentiment 5 | Valuation 1 | Catalyst 5 | Technical 4 | Total: 18

Trade Suggestions: Short Breakthrough | Entry: 13.8 | TP: 10.5 | SL: 15.0 | Confidence: 2

Investment Thesis:

Based on a comprehensive analysis, Quantum Computing Inc. presents a high-risk, highly speculative investment opportunity. While the company boasts a strong cash position and promising long-term quantum technology with the operational Tempe foundry, its current financial performance is extremely weak, characterized by minimal revenue, significant operating losses, and a reliance on non-cash gains for reported net income. The stock is astronomically overvalued, trading at multiples that are unsustainable and disconnected from its fundamental business prospects. Analyst sentiment is mixed, with official ratings suggesting some upside, but broader market sentiment is predominantly bearish due to valuation concerns. Technically, the stock shows short-term bearish momentum, with a critical earnings report expected today that is likely to confirm negative financial trends. Given these factors, a tactical short position on a breakdown below key support is recommended, but with extremely conservative position sizing due to the inherent volatility and speculative nature of the stock.

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